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Let's take a look at the incredibly accurate timing of the Shmita Year as it impacts modern history in the realm of finances, economies, and empires: 1901-1902 Shmita Year - 46% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. (photo credit: AP Photo/Tsafrir Abayov). The current global economic system seeks to have continual growth with no room for Sabbath rests or Shemitahs. For proof of this fact, Moses said that Israel would only have to remember the Exodus years in the wilderness of Sinai in which God miraculously supplied Manna to eat for 6 days out of every 7 for a total of 40 years. Establishment of You may wonder how Israel could ever eliminate a year of planting and not run out of food, because the effect of the Shemitah would actually result in at least a 1.5-year interim between harvests. However, the historical hit rates arent high enough to justify running for cover if you have no other fundamental stock-market worries. Is the Shemitah Effect real or is it imagined? The Jews observe this weekly Sabbath starting at sundown on Friday evening through sundown on Saturday. The conference call can be accessed live over the phone by dialing (412) 317-6346 or (844) 204-8586 from the U.S. Callers from Brazil can dial +55 11 3181-8565. Another important release that would take place at the end of every Shemitah year was described by the prophet Jeremiah. If this force really exists, it might actually impact the valuation of stock markets, investments, and currencies on a recurring basis. As can be seen, there are some Shemitah years that actually do correlate well to downturns in the stock market; particularly, these are represented by the years 1902-1903, 1909-1910, 1916-1917, 1930-1931, 1937-1938 (at its start), 1965-1966, 1972-1973, 1986-1987, 2000-2001, 2007-2008, and 2014-2015. Greed and the desire for money caused many in Israel to ignore the Shemitah and the Jubilee. then I will so order My blessing for you in the sixth year that it will bring forth the crop for three years. Unfortunately, some conclusions based upon Biblical cherry-picking often result in ideas that become so popular that overcoming them with real data is difficult. What if we could engender the expectation that the seventh year will be a year of readjustment in national or global economics? Seeing that the Shemitah Effect includes a year-long event related to the cessation of the agricultural market and an end-of-year effect related to the remission of debt (end-of-year in the Jewish Civil Calendar being in the September-October time frame in the Gregorian Calendar), if there exists any broader impact on the worlds economy this might be reflected in economic downturns during and immediately after these periods. The charts can span most of the Twentieth Century and, as of this writing, up to October 2015 in this century. How can the Torahs idealistic instruction to cease agricultural labor for one year every seven apply to a 24/7 post-industrial reality? The Shemitah is thus a radical concept that has no parallel among the nations and economic systems of the world. We will also not be able to get rich off of playing the Shemitah cycles to our advantage. Please use the following structure: example@domain.com, Send me The Times of Israel Daily Edition. Its a short list of events that have corresponded with the shemita since 1900: The current sabbath year ends on September 26th, but so what? Let me show you. With the most speculative year in U.S. stock market history drawing to a close, we could probably all use a rest. U.S. Voted to People are blessed with perfect economic information and make their decisions accordingly. So you shall not wrong one another, but you shall fear your God; for I am the Lord your God.. name for ourselves", "Who say in pride and arrogance of heart: The bricks have fallen down, but we will rebuild with When you are sowing the eighth year, you can still eat old things from the crop, eating the old until the ninth year when its crop comes in.. Therefore, the principle of the Shemitah remained in effect even if Israel tried to eliminate it from their lives and culture. The reason why this never-ending story takes economists by surprise time and again is that its an article of faith for most of them that human beings are rational. Economy is like an unfathomable thing. and the most physical collapse in American history as the two towers The seventh year is meant to be a reset, a return to the real values that underpin our increasingly frantic efforts. One sharp observer who realized that this was not how things worked in the real world was the British economist John Maynard Keynes. Here is a chart comparing all of the years: It is hard to understand what to do with this data. We know that this is true, at least in theory. and yearsthe cycle of seven weeks (7x7) points to the 50th day - Pentecost. Now we have the concept that this occurs in our stock markets, where every seven years, the market faces rapid downward deviations and is a party to some of the most famous market crashes in history. The goal of the Shmita Project is to significantly raise awareness of the concept of shmita in Jewish tradition, both as a way to learn about how extraordinary and rich Jewish tradition is, and to animate conversation and change in the world, based on the values and teachings of shmita and focus on environmental sustainability, rest and overwork, Greed and bad economic practices often lead to economic busts that have nothing to do with the Shemitah Effect or its timing. All performance results have been compiled solely by Reppond Investments, Inc. and are from sources we believe to be reliable. The story behind the Shemitah is that the 7th year is the year of resting and releasing. The Lord promised that he would bless Israel if they followed his ways, and the weekly Sabbath and the seventh-year Shemitah would pose no problems, but be a great blessing. Let's take a look at the incredibly accurate timing of the Shmita Year as it impacts modern history in Yet the charts suggest that, although we are desperate to deny it, such a rhythm is obstinately embedded in human economic life. Rigel Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (Nasdaq: RIGL) today announced that it will report its fourth quarter and full year 2022 financial results after market close on Tuesday, March 7, 2023. Written by John Ballard for The Motley Fool ->. Britain, the world's greatest empire was almost bankrupt. ". Britain, the world's greatest empire was almost bankrupt. understanding about current and future events. The sabbatical year is one of rest, forgiveness, and reflection. Shmita years are behind the rise and fall of America. German, Austro-Hungarian, Russian and Ottoman Empires collapsed. In addition, although the Shemitah of 1930-1931 occurred right in the middle of the long stock market slide at the beginning of the Great Depression, the Shemitah year did not occur during the Dows initial severe collapse during the fall of 1929. He said that once every seven years any Hebrews used as slaves among the people would have to be freed (Jeremiah 34:13-14). (You can check the numbers and dates here, here and here.) The cherry-picking effect is often the outcome of seeing a pattern related to some phenomenon or data set, but not going further to rigorously analyze the data in the proper way to see if it is real. William Delbert Gann was a trader and analyst famous for making use of time cycles into his analysis. Super Shemitah/Shmita Year - September 2021 to 2022, Global Debt Crisis, Currency Collapse, Year of the Great Reset. Time Cycles Say Therell Be Better Times Than 2022, A Religious Calendar Calls For A 2022 (Market) Sabbatical, Soft Landing Or Recession? The aftereffects of a Shemitah year should continue to be felt during the first year of the next Shemitah cycle, because the debt release occurs on the last day of the year. From the following table it can be seen that 14 out of the 20 most significant point drops correlate to a Shemitah year or its wake. Note: The people of Israel actually follow two yearly calendars. United States enters WWI. The last time we have seen a Shemitah year was in the year 2014-2015. 3 Add to the fact that this pandemic is not going out quietly, we will eventually find out that stock markets do not like uncertainty. 1916-1917 Year of Shemitah (*Super Shemitah Year) - Stock market drops 40%. In a personal communication with Adrian Zenz, he told me, from the empirical economic evidence it is impossible to demonstrate or prove a Shemitah effect, as shown also by the low explanatory power scores in my statistical testing, based on different Shemitah time periods. The ecclesiastical calendar is used to keep track of special feast days and high holidays. Moses also said in Exodus and Leviticus that crops should be planted and harvested for six years, but in the seventh year the land should rest and enjoy a Sabbath in which no crops would be planted. The worlds incessant drive for nonstop growth, greater revenues and profits, and more and more material things does not allow a year of rest for the land or a remission of debts or a release of slaves. 2022 was a nasty year for the stock market, but a wonderful one for market numerologists. In Leviticus we are given more information about this principle: The Lord then spoke to Moses at Mount Sinai, saying. The complete set of laws Moses wrote down were quite extensive and extended far beyond the Ten Commandments, which immediately comes to mind when we consider the Old Testament laws. This includes graphs of the major stock market indices as well as graphs for commodities, currencies, bonds, and unemployment levels. Thus, while the last few Shemitahs have almost exactly correlated to market crashesand as Jonathan Cahn has said they may be indicative of a broader approaching judgment upon Americawe will not be able to use the Shemitah Effect to predict what will happen during the next Shemitah year in 2021-2022. This means, unfortunately that slumps and depressions are exaggerated in degree. Not planting nor harvesting any crops so the soil can recover from 6 years of growing and harvesting. Norway's foremost claims manager | Norges fremste klagebehandler. It is wise for us to attune our The comparison of the volatility of Reppond Investments, Inc.s strategies to the volatility of any stock market index is for illustrative purposes only. towers fell. sets of seven years (7x7 Shmita years) points to the 50th year - Jubilee. According to the statutes of this law, the 50th year would include another year like the Shemitah year of not planting or harvesting of crops; therefore the seventh Shemitah year of rest for the land was followed by another Jubilee year of rest, making two consecutive years of no planting and no harvesting every 49 years. One world order? Thus, the 12 tribes of Israel and the families owning property within their territorial regions would never completely lose their land to another family or tribe. To detect a Shemitah Effect and see if it is broader than just its relationship to Israel, we need to first map out the times that correspond to the Shemitah years within the Jewish and Gregorian calendars. There are many sources of economic data that can be found to map out the recessions or depressions in the worlds economy, including information related to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) as well as the booms and busts in the stock markets or bond markets, the increases and decreases in currency values, or the rise and fall of unemployment. Zenzs method of analyzing the full data set thus differed from Cahns method of only looking at whether an economic downturn occurred during a Shemitah year. Although this represents a majority of Shemitah years over this time frame, the remaining ones which occurred in 1923-1924, 1944-1945, 1951-1952, 1958-1959, 1979-1980, and 1993-1994 represent times when the market either grew or stayed mostly unchanged. If the Shemitah Effect not only affects Israel because of the Law of Moses, but also affects the United States and the rest of the world, then we might be able to see its effects throughout the financial realm as it repeats every seven years. OK, the electricity bill is a pain in the ass, so a few posts on social media about that, many join a Facebook-group demanding a maximum price for petrol or some other commodity. The length of these cycles is reliably between six and nine years. THIS IS JUST ENTERTAINMENT!This information is what was found publicly on the internet. The first thing to ask is, What is the Shemitah Effect? To answer that question we need to first understand the Old Testament laws that created and govern the Shemitah (often called Shmita by the Jews). (Its a translation with an introduction of part of Rav Kooks great book on Shmita, Shabbat Haaretz, since you are kind enough to ask.). I higly recommend it and youll find links to all ten episodes below. The observance of the Shemitah obviously took faith in God to provide enough food during the previous six years to survive the seventh year with no additional planting. You know, a lot of people are searching around for this info, you can help them greatly. Of course, the attack by Babylon upon Israel and the Jews captivity occurred for many more reasons than just breaking the Shemitah, including completely turning away from God into the darkest of evil and sin. This is an interesting question and one in which Jonathan Cahn proposed to answer in his books. Vis flere innlegg. Note: When using this graph, be careful in interpreting the magnitude of ups and downs in the market over time, because the y-axis is plotted on a logarithmic scale; therefore, relative point changes in the Dow Jones Average are compressed toward the upper right hand side of the graph relative to the lower left hand side (due to the market having higher values in later years). You shall have the fiftieth year as a jubilee; you shall not sow, nor reap its aftergrowth, nor gather in from its untrimmed vines. It will be determined this year. Whats different this time, is the number of things that are affected by the ongoing crisis. Thus, the agricultural effect occurs during the entire year and immediately thereafter, whereas the effect from the debt release occurs only at the end of the year and its wake. An investor should not assume that any strategy used by Reppond Investments, Inc. will directly correspond to any such comparative index.Different types of investments and/or investment strategies involve varying levels of risk. The year 2022 on the Jewish calendar is a Shmita yearhistorically considered to be a year of rest, or sabbatical, following six years of work. This part of the Shemitah thus provided a cooling off period for Israels economy. ", "Come, let us build ourselves a city, and a tower whose top is in the heavens; let us make a This 1.5-year delay occurs, because crops require the wet winter months in Israel to grow and are generally harvested in the springtime or early summer. The Lord prevents such precise predictions (and guaranteed monetary gains) by making the Shemitah Effect more of a probability and less of a certainty. A more in depth analysis would conclude that breathing has nothing to do with eventual death, even if everyone who breaths does eventually die. Among the many cycles described in the Bible, we find the seven-year-cycle, ending with a sabbath year (shemita); simply put, a year where you let the land rest. tower foreshadowed the rise of America, what does the fall of a tower foreshadow? is like a two edged sword. This represents a 70% correlation of the Shemitah Effect to the most significant point drops in stock market history. The fears are paper tigers. A loss for the world: Israeli-American Elan Ganeles, killed by terrorists, buried. German, Austro-Hungarian, Russian and Ottoman Empires collapsed. In the same chapter of Leviticus where the Shemitah laws were revealed, Moses went on to describe the laws related to the year of Jubilee: You are also to count off seven sabbaths of years for yourself, seven times seven years, so that you have the time of the seven sabbaths of years, namely, forty-nine years. Mike Maloney is a smart guy, but hes just a man with a view just take a look on his favourite crypto, Hedera Hashgraph (episode 8). the realm of finances, economies and empires: The opinions, facts and any media content in them are presented solely by the authors, and neither The Times of Israel nor its partners assume any responsibility for them. As we learned in the four sections on Daniels Prophecy of the Seventy Weeks and the section on The Scattering of Judah and Jerusalem, Israel was taken captive into Babylon for exactly 70 years to make up for the 707 years (490 years) that the Jews didnt follow the Shemitah for the land. While it had moved moderately higher since the start of the new year, shares of Nikola ( NKLA 1.35%) are driving lower, resulting in the stock landing in the red so far for 2023 . By AARON KATSMAN Published:. Well, that was my two satoshis on the upcoming shemita.. For meg om meg, se https://dagruneflaaten.com/. Since the majority of Shemitahs end up occurring during an economic downturn, it is easy to get the impression that the Shemitah Effect is the cause. But a combo of time cycles suggests a major low is due any time. He holds semicha, degrees from Oxford and Harvard and lives in Jerusalem with his wife and five children. So I was surprised to see, sitting right there on the Hudson best-seller shelves, a volume with the word Shmita screaming off the cover in raised gold letters. Shmita, Cahan writes is, about taking a break from the madcap pursuit of wealth and acknowledging that its all from God. It was 2015, and a church friend of mine was warning about the stock market crash that she was predicting. In this way we gain Note: All returns assume a change in price and include dividend payouts (not reinvested). Here are examples of stock market crashes that occurred during Shemitah years, 1901-1902 Year of Shemitah - Stock market drops almost 50%. Year of the Shmita September 24th 2022! In addition, the law of the Shemitah allowed for all people and animals to eat freely of the opportunistic crops which grew during the Sabbath year. Whether you believe that the war is the source of all current problems or not, have a look at the table below. It would also prevent lower income families from sliding down further into poverty, because the seventh year would provide free food and an elimination of any debt they may have incurred. Similarly, in more recent times, the Shemitah years of 2000-2001, 2007-2008 and 2014-2015 correlated almost perfectly to major market downturns, but there was a lack of correlation to the market declines that occurred in the years between them. What might be more insteresting at least for some is trying to understand how our economic system is constructed and how it works. This 1.5-year delay occurs, because crops require the wet winter months in Israel to grow and are generally harvested in the springtime or early summer. God often operates within the realm of probabilities in such a way that He makes it difficult or impossible for us to absolutely predict the future. Fortunately, this is a simple process, as Israel has been faithfully tracking the Shemitah time cycles (although not strictly observing the Mosaic Law) from the time that the Temple was destroyed in 70 AD. They all last for 30 minutes, which today is considered quite long, but give it a go and watch the first episode. Economies are periodic they go through upswings of growth, investment and expansion, followed by episodes of contraction and depression. With that assertion, it is imperative to learn about the Shemitah Effect as we study End Times prophecy. The year 2022 on the Jewish calendar is a Shmita yearhistorically considered to be a year of rest, or sabbatical, following six years of work. Weve gotten our money back, thanks to the complaints help we got!Eternally grateful!!! Its boring and time consuming, but the very episodes mentioned above may make it less boring. This happened to be as well a Shemitah year. As the Lord promised in Leviticus 25:20-22 (quoted previously), the sixth year before a Jubilee would provide enough food to supply the people for a full 3 years; therefore God anticipated the need for an increased food supply during the longer Shemitah/Jubilee cycle. God commands rest for both the farmer and the land"But the seventh year thou shall let it rest These opportunistic crops would continue to sprout during a Shemitah year and supply additional food for anyone wanting to eat it. His writings and talks about the Shemitah are very interesting, and at least they should be read and understood by every Christian. Global recession.2021-2022 Shmita Year ??? Therefore, working backward from the Shemitah of 2014-2015, the following years can be calculated to be Shemitahs simply subtracting 7 from each year. Also, the value of property or farm land being sold was to be prorated relative to the time left before the next Year of Jubilee. The Shmita year starts every 7th year on Elul 29 on the Biblical Calendar on the Feast of Trumpets. The impact of the Global recession. However, Reppond Investments, Inc. makes no representations or guarantees with respect to the accuracy or completeness of that type of data.Past performance is not indicative of future results. What Cahn called significant did not really have scientific significance when all the data points are considered and analyzed according to standard statistical methods. Unfortunately, markets have frequently taken this suggestion quite literally! It seems very difficult though. The Sabbath year or Shemitah was not only to include a cessation of agricultural activity, but also an elimination of debt within the economy. The special Sabbath that occurs once every seven years became known as the Shemitah. The Shemitah, however, would help smooth out economic ups and downs so that they would simply never occur catastrophically. Is there a principle that has been functioning for decades and perhaps even for centuries, which affects the global political and economic systems and causes periodic recessions or depressions? If we have a look at the stock market in that year, we cant see any crash like we have seen in past Shemitah years, but we are seeing something interesting. There is always some rational, well-grounded economic reason why the current boom whether in South Sea stocks, internet companies or residential real estate will go on for ever and ever. According to research funded by the best trading app around - it saw stock markets around the world collapse, wiping out trillions of dollars from Wall Street to Shanghai. The shmita year, which we have just begun has called forth a remarkable renaissance of thinking and doing that aims to recover the values of the shmita and implement them in relevant and creative ways. What this meant is that any person or family that sold their property to another Hebrew would get their property back at the end of every 7 Shemitahs. It was easier for Israel to simply overlook this law rather than to risk not having enough food for over a year at a time or risk losing money by having to forgive debt or give back land. The previous salary increase was higher than the last one, so were kind of happy. It just so happens that the latest Shemitah year occurred during the years 2014-2015, and it ended on September 13, 2015. Despite these promised benefits that the Shemitah and Jubilee observances would bring to Israel, it was unfortunately rarely if ever followed during the years of the First Kingdom and the First Temple period. When ancient Israel uttered these prideful words God brought judgment upon the The Largest Point Drops in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, RankDateCloseNet Change% ChangeShemitah Years or Wake12008-09-2910365.45-777.68-6.9822008-10-158577.91-733.08-7.8732001-09-178920.7-684.81-7.1342008-12-018149.09-679.95-7.752008-10-098579.19-678.91-7.3362011-08-0810809.85-634.76-5.55 72000-04-1410305.78-617.77-5.66 82015-08-2415871.35-588.4-3.5791997-10-277161.14-554.26-7.18 102015-08-2116459.75-530.94-3.12112011-08-1010719.94-519.83-4.62 122008-10-228519.21-514.45-5.69132011-08-0411383.68-512.76-4.31 141998-08-317539.06-512.62-6.37 152008-10-079447.11-508.39-5.11161987-10-191738.74-508-22.61172008-09-1510917.51-504.48-4.42182008-11-059139.27-486.01-5.05192015-09-0116058.35-469.68-2.84202008-09-1710609.66-449.36-4.06. "Who say in pride and arrogance of heart: The bricks have fallen down, but we will rebuild with If the animal spirits are dimmed and the spontaneous optimism faltersenterprise will fade and diethe thought of ultimate loss is put aside as a healthy man puts aside the experience of death. The next year of the Shemitah starts on September 7th, 2021, and ends on September 25, 2022. Compared to non-Shmita years, that is significantly different (p < 0.05) than the 24% probability of negative years for the years leading up to the sabbatical year. Reppond Investments, Inc. reserves the right to trade different ETFs or mutual funds within a strategy than those reflected in the graphic shown. Yes, its a construction and as for all constructions affecting us, it might be a smart ting having a look at it in order to understand it. The data therefore indicates that throughout this period of over a century in length, 11 Shemitahs out of 17 show a definite Shemitah Effect relative to the Dow Jones Industrial Average. With the most speculative year in U.S. stock market history drawing to a close, we could probably all use a rest. If the reset is not expected, (and it usually isnt), experience shows that it comes upon us anyway, as a nasty surprise. SHEMITAH CYCLE AMTV 684K subscribers Subscribe 1.2K 17K views 1 year ago #AMTV. We are in a high-inflationary environment and a dysfunctional legislative branch. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Phi network most valuable crypto in the world, Ukraine zelenskyy virtual into law legalizing. How about a rest that lasts 12 months? This important Jewish holiday occurs in the fall, usually in Late September or early October (it occurred on Sept. 23 in 2015), and it serves to usher in the start of the New Year of Jubilee. 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